Boxing Gloves Boxing Data
Fight

Alex Murphy vs Josh Holmes: Fight Preview, Prediction & Analysis

Boxing Data
#stats#analysis#data#fight#bout

The first fight on the DAZN broadcast throws up a genuinely compelling lightweight matchup. Alex Murphy, the Salford-based “Super” with 16 professional fights and zero career knockouts, takes on Josh Holmes, the unbeaten 17-0 English lightweight who brings the finishing power Murphy conspicuously lacks.

The subplot makes it even richer: Murphy lost to Aqib Fiaz by unanimous decision in July 2025 — and Fiaz is fighting on this same card, later in the evening against Jordan Flynn. The Manchester domestic lightweight scene is settling scores tonight.

Fight Details

DateSaturday, March 28, 2026
VenueCo-op Live Arena, Manchester
PromotionQueensberry Promotions
DivisionLightweight (135 lb)
Rounds10
BroadcasterDAZN (UK & Global)
Estimated Ringwalk~5:00 PM GMT / 12:00 PM EST

Alex Murphy

Alex Murphy (14-2, 0 KOs) is the 24-year-old Salford lightweight who trains at VIP Gym under former British champion Jamie Moore. Nicknamed “Super,” Murphy built an extended unbeaten streak before consecutive losses in 2025 — a unanimous decision defeat to Khaleel Majid in April, followed by another UD loss to Aqib Fiaz in July.

The 0-KO record across 16 fights is the defining statistical fact of his career: Murphy is a pure technical boxer, not a puncher. When he operates behind his jab and controls distance, he accumulates rounds impressively. When opponents close the gap and land cleanly, the scorecards can tip either way. His October 2025 bounce-back win over de Oliveira showed his ability to respond after setbacks — and at 24, this remains a career that can go in multiple directions.

Josh Holmes

Josh Holmes (17-0, 6 KOs) is the 30-year-old unbeaten English lightweight who brings genuine power to this contest. His October 2025 unanimous decision win over Cesar Ignacio Paredes over 8 rounds showed he can perform at this level across a full evening’s work — and the 35% KO rate represents a real and consistent finishing threat that Murphy has never had to worry about against himself.

Holmes’s unbeaten record creates expectation, but it also raises the central question: has he been truly tested against a slick, technical boxer like Murphy? The profile says he can punch. Saturday tells us whether he can punch a moving target.

Tale of the Tape

Alex MurphyJosh Holmes
Record14-217-0
KOs0 (0%)6 (35%)
Age2430
Height5’10” / 178 cm5’9”
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox

The KO rate contrast is the headline number: 0% vs 35%. Murphy outboxes his opponents and lets the scorecards do the talking. Holmes punches hard enough to skip the scorecards entirely when he lands.

Recent Form

Alex Murphy — Last 4 Fights

DateOpponentResultMethodRd
Oct 2025Jonatas de OliveiraWPTS8
Jul 2025Aqib FiazLUD10
Apr 2025Khaleel MajidLUD10

Josh Holmes — Recent Fights

DateOpponentResultMethodRd
Oct 2025Cesar Ignacio ParedesWUD8
(17-0 unbeaten across career)

Murphy’s two consecutive defeats before the de Oliveira win make this a must-win contest for his title aspirations. Holmes arrives undefeated and hungry for his first major test.

Styles Matchup

Both fighters are orthodox, which removes the southpaw variable and makes this a clean test of fundamentals: footwork, jab, hand speed, and who can impose their style over 10 rounds.

Murphy’s technical boxing and ring movement will be tested by Holmes’s willingness to close the distance and throw the power shots his 6 KOs suggest he can land. The critical dynamic: Murphy has never been stopped in his career, but his back-to-back losses to Majid and Fiaz showed he can be beaten by fighters who match his work rate and outwork him physically.

For Holmes, the 0-KO record across Murphy’s 16 professional fights is actually relevant in reverse — it means Murphy’s chin is relatively unexplored. Holmes, with his 35% KO rate, may be landing harder shots than Murphy has ever absorbed consistently. If Holmes can get to Murphy cleanly in the middle rounds, this fight changes.

Keys to Victory

Alex Murphy

Josh Holmes

Prediction & Betting Odds

UK OddsUS Moneyline
Murphy61/100-160
Holmes6/5+120

The pricing reflects genuine competitiveness. Murphy’s technical toolkit and experience under Jamie Moore give him the edge, but Holmes’s unbeaten record and finishing power make this anything but a formality. Prediction: Murphy W SD 10.

How to Watch

CountryBroadcasterStart Time
UKDAZN5:00 PM GMT (Opening Broadcast Fight)
USADAZN12:00 PM EST

Estimated ringwalk: ~5:00 PM GMT / 12:00 PM EST (first fight on the DAZN main card).

All Seven Fights on March 28

The complete Magnificent Seven card previews:

FAQ

When is Murphy vs Holmes? Saturday, March 28, 2026 at Co-op Live Arena, Manchester. Estimated ringwalk ~5:00 PM GMT (first fight on the DAZN main card).

How to watch Murphy vs Holmes? Live on DAZN in the UK and globally. Main card starts at 5:00 PM GMT.

Why does Alex Murphy have 0 KOs? Murphy is a technical, points-based boxer rather than a natural puncher — his game is built on movement, jab control, and outboxing opponents rather than raw power.

What are the odds for Murphy vs Holmes? Murphy is a slight favourite at 61/100 (-160). Holmes is 6/5 (+120) — genuinely competitive odds that reflect the real uncertainty in this matchup.

What’s the Murphy–Fiaz connection? Murphy lost to Aqib Fiaz by unanimous decision in July 2025. Fiaz is fighting on this same card later in the evening against Jordan Flynn. A Murphy win while Fiaz also competes reshapes the domestic lightweight picture in one night.


📊 Want to dive deeper into the action? Subscribe to our Boxing Data API to access full round-by-round punch stats, detailed analytics, and historical fight data.

← Back to Blog