Matias vs. Smith: A Statistical Fight Preview and Prediction
Will raw power and knockout prowess be enough? Subriel Matias vs. Dalton Smith is set to explode at Barclays Center for the WBC Super Lightweight Championship!
The super lightweight division is about to witness a potentially explosive showdown as Subriel “El Orgullo de Maternillo” Matias defends his WBC World Super Lightweight Championship against the undefeated Dalton “Thunder” Smith. On Saturday, January 10, 2026, the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York, will be the battleground. Will Matias’s devastating power be too much for Smith’s technical brilliance, or will Smith maintain his perfect record and snatch the world title? This Matias vs Smith preview delves deep into the stats, recent form, and offers a Matias vs Smith prediction, giving you a comprehensive look at this can’t-miss fight. Boxing fans, get ready!
Subriel “El Orgullo de Maternillo” Matias: The Relentless Power Puncher from Puerto Rico
- Nickname: El Orgullo de Maternillo
- Nationality: Puerto Rico
- Fighting Style: Aggressive, high-pressure, knockout artist
- Key Strengths: Immense power, relentless pressure, exceptional knockout ability (96% KO rate)
- Potential Weaknesses: Can be outboxed by technically sound fighters, susceptible to well-timed counter-punches
- Recent Form: Recent wins include a majority decision against Alberto Puello, a TKO over Gabriel Gollaz Valenzuela, and a KO against Roberto Ramirez. His last loss was a unanimous decision to Liam Paro.
- Road to the Fight: Matias will defend his WBC World Super Lightweight Championship for the first time, having won it against Alberto Puello in July 2025. He’s held the belt for approximately 5 months and 28 days. The Subriel Matias record speaks for itself!
Dalton “Thunder” Smith: The Unbeaten Technician from the UK
- Nickname: Thunder
- Nationality: United Kingdom
- Fighting Style: Well-rounded, technically gifted
- Key Strengths: Superior boxing skills, high ring IQ, adaptability
- Potential Weaknesses: Lacks Matias’s raw power, relatively untested against top-tier opposition
- Recent Form: Smith is coming off a unanimous decision victory against Mathieu Germain. He also boasts recent wins over Walid Ouizza (TKO), Jose Zepeda (KO), and Sam Maxwell (TKO).
- Road to the Fight: Dalton Smith is currently ranked #1 by the WBC and #7 by The Ring in the 140lb division. This Dalton Smith record shows his potential!
By the Numbers: Matias vs. Smith Statistical Face-Off
A detailed boxing analysis reveals some key differences:
| Statistic | Subriel Matias | Dalton Smith |
|---|
| Age | 33 | 28 |
| Height | 5’ 8” / 173 cm | 5’ 9” / 176 cm |
| Reach | 71.7” / 182 cm | 69.3” / 176 cm |
| Record | 23-2 (22 KOs) | 18-0 (13 KOs) |
| KO Percentage | 96% | 72% |
| Rounds Fought | 130 | 111 |
| Ranking | #2 (The Ring) | #1 (WBC), #7 (The Ring) |
Matias’s Knockout Edge: Does Power Trump All?
Matias’s incredible 96% knockout percentage highlights his immense power. The question is: Can Smith withstand the storm?
Height and Reach: Will Smith’s Slight Physical Advantages Matter?
Smith has a slight height advantage, but Matias possesses a longer reach. How will these physical attributes affect the fight dynamic?
Matias has significantly more fights and rounds under his belt. Will this experience prove crucial against the undefeated Smith?
- Subriel Matias: Fought more frequently recently, averaging a fight every 5 months and 4 days, totaling 39 rounds in his last 5 bouts.
- Dalton Smith: Has fought less frequently, averaging a fight every 6 months and 30 days, also totaling 37 rounds in his last 5 bouts.
Will Matias’s greater activity give him an edge, or will Smith’s freshness be a factor?
Subriel Matias: Strengths and Weaknesses of “El Orgullo de Maternillo”
- Strengths: Devastating power, relentless aggression, high knockout rate, significant experience.
- Weaknesses: Susceptible to being outboxed by skilled technicians, stamina can be tested in longer fights.
Dalton Smith: Strengths and Weaknesses of “Thunder”
- Strengths: Excellent boxing skills, high ring IQ, adaptability, undefeated record.
- Weaknesses: Lacks Matias’s one-punch knockout power, relatively untested against elite-level opponents.
The Path to Victory: Keys to Winning
- Subriel Matias:
- Impose his will early and seek the knockout.
- Cut off the ring and prevent Smith from utilizing his boxing skills.
- Maintain relentless pressure and avoid getting drawn into a technical battle.
- Dalton Smith:
- Utilize superior footwork and boxing technique to evade Matias’s power.
- Establish the jab and control the distance.
- Capitalize on openings and counter Matias’s aggression effectively.
Prediction: Power or Precision?
My Matias vs Smith prediction: Subriel Matias will win by late stoppage (TKO in rounds 9-12).
While Smith’s boxing skills pose a threat, Matias’s relentless pressure and overwhelming power will eventually break him down. Matias will likely weather Smith’s early success and then impose his will in the later rounds, securing a TKO victory. However, boxing is unpredictable, and an upset is always possible.
Fight Night Details
- Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026
- Location: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, New York, United States
- Time: Ringwalks are expected around 10:30 PM EST / 7:30 PM PST (3:30 AM GMT in the UK).
- Broadcasters: PPV.com (US & UK)
- How to Stream Matias vs Smith: In the US, you can stream Matias vs Smith stream via PPV.com.
- Matias vs Smith Odds: Subriel Matias is currently 8/13 (-160) to win, while Dalton Smith is 13/10 (+130).
Undercard Highlights
The Barclays Center boxing event features a stacked undercard: Jeyvier Cintron vs. Victor Efrain Sandoval, Emmanuel Rodriguez vs. Fernando Diaz, Alfredo Santiago Alvarez vs. Hendri Cedeno, Nestor Bravo vs. Pedro Campa, and Keith Colon vs. Alberto Guevara.
Super Lightweight Supremacy: The Stakes
The Matias vs Smith fight represents more than just a title defense. It’s a clash of styles that will significantly impact the super lightweight landscape. Will Matias continue his reign, or will Smith usher in a new era? Share your Matias vs Smith preview and predictions below. This is boxing news you don’t want to miss!
FAQ: Matias vs Smith
- When is Matias vs Smith? Subriel Matias will take on Dalton Smith on Saturday, January 10th, 2026, at Barclays Center, New York.
- What weight class is Matias vs Smith? The fight will be contested over 12 rounds in the Super Lightweight division, which is 140 pounds (10 stone or 63.5 kg).
- What title is on the line in Matias vs Smith? This contest is for the WBC super lightweight championship of the world.
- Where is Matias vs Smith? The Matias vs Smith fight will be held at Barclays Center, Brooklyn, New York, United States.
- What time does Matias vs Smith start? The fighters are expected to ringwalk at around 10:30 PM EST / 7:30 PM PST at Barclays Center, New York, United States, which is around 3:30 AM GMT in the UK.
- How can I watch Matias vs Smith? In the US, you can stream Matias vs Smith via PPV.com.
- What are the betting odds for Matias vs Smith? Subriel Matias is currently 8/13 (-160) to win the clash outright, while you can get 13/10 (+130) on Dalton Smith.
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