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Liam Davies vs Francesco Grandelli: Fight Preview, Prediction & Analysis

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The Magnificent Seven card’s dedicated title fight sees Welsh featherweight Liam Davies challenge for the vacant EBU European Featherweight Championship, with Italy’s Francesco “Kekko” Grandelli standing between him and a remarkable two-weight European title haul. Originally booked against Zak Miller before an injury forced a last-minute change, Davies now faces a battle-tested Italian who has pushed world-ranked opposition the full distance — including taking WBC #1 Nathaniel Collins to 12 rounds.

This is a 12-round European championship final on a major platform. Every round counts.

Fight Details

DateSaturday, March 28, 2026
VenueCo-op Live Arena, Manchester
PromotionQueensberry Promotions
DivisionFeatherweight (126 lb)
Rounds12
TitleVacant EBU European Featherweight Championship
BroadcasterDAZN (UK & Global)
Estimated Ringwalk~8:00 PM GMT / 3:00 PM EST

Liam Davies

Liam Davies (17-1, 8 KOs) from Wrexham is already a two-time EBU European Champion — he won the belt twice at super bantamweight (122lb) and now campaigns at featherweight (126lb), aiming to become a two-weight European champion. His only professional loss came in November 2024 when Shabaz Masoud edged him on a split decision over 12 rounds — a result Davies bounced back from emphatically with a unanimous 12-round points win in May 2025.

At 29 and entering his prime, Davies’s 47% KO rate across 18 fights shows a sharp puncher when the opportunity presents — the round-1 TKO of Jason Cunningham and the round-2 destruction of Erik Robles tell that story clearly. Ranked WBO #8, WBA #14, WBC #15, and IBF #9 at featherweight, world title conversations are not far away if Davies can land European gold tonight.

Francesco Grandelli

Francesco Grandelli (21-4-2, 6 KOs) — nicknamed “Kekko” — is the 31-year-old Italian veteran who arrives in Manchester as a proven European-level operator. His credentials are real: he took WBC #1 Nathaniel Collins the full 12 rounds in May 2024, and went the distance again against Cristobal Lorente in a European title challenge later that year. Grandelli does not fold easily.

Don’t be misled by the four losses — every defeat has come against world-ranked or European championship-level opposition. He walks into this fight in form too: a 5th-round TKO of Jose Antonio Sanchez in December 2025 followed a close split decision win over Simone Rao in June 2025. This is his third crack at the European title, and he has earned it.

Tale of the Tape

Liam DaviesFrancesco Grandelli
Record17-121-4-2
KOs8 (47%)6 (29%)
Age2931
Height5’10” / 177 cm
Reach71.7” / 182 cm
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox

Davies holds the clear KO rate advantage — 47% to 29% — reflecting a significant power differential that could be decisive over 12 rounds.

Recent Form

Liam Davies — Last 5 Fights

DateOpponentResultMethodRd
May 2025WalkerWUD12
Nov 2024Shabaz MasoudLSD12
Mar 2024Erik RoblesWTKO2
Nov 2023Vincenzo La FeminaWTKO5
Jul 2023Jason CunninghamWTKO1

Francesco Grandelli — Last 5 Fights

DateOpponentResultMethodRd
Dec 2025Jose Antonio SanchezWTKO5
Jun 2025Simone RaoWSD10
Late 2024Cristobal LorenteLUD12
May 2024Nathaniel CollinsLUD12
Apr 2022Kane BakerWUD10

Davies’s bounce-back win in May 2025 after the Masoud setback shows the mental resilience of a proper professional. Grandelli’s Collins and Lorente losses came against world-class opposition — his floor is European championship level.

Styles Matchup

Both men are orthodox fighters, which sets up a technically-driven chess match over 12 rounds. Davies’s body punching and punch volume have been the hallmarks of his best performances — his 47% KO rate relative to Grandelli’s 29% suggests Davies should be the harder-hitting man.

Grandelli’s value is persistence and tactical intelligence. Going 12 rounds with Nathaniel Collins — one of the world’s top featherweights — proves he can absorb sustained punishment from elite hands. His plan will be to box from range, pick angles, and drag Davies into the championship rounds where accumulated fatigue might shift the balance.

The key data point for Davies: he has scored stoppages in rounds 1, 1, 2, and 5 in recent outings. If he lands his overhand right cleanly and consistently, this may not go the distance.

Keys to Victory

Liam Davies

Francesco Grandelli

Prediction & Betting Odds

UK OddsUS Moneyline
Davies2/17-830
Grandelli9/2+450

The odds decisively favour Davies, and rightly so. This is his moment to become a two-weight European champion and push into world title contention. Grandelli is a genuine threat in the later rounds if Davies allows the fight to become tactical — but Davies’s combination of power, ring IQ, and domestic crowd advantage should see him through. Prediction: Davies W UD 12.

How to Watch

CountryBroadcasterStart Time
UKDAZN5:00 PM GMT (Main Card)
USADAZN12:00 PM EST

Estimated ringwalk: ~8:00 PM GMT / 3:00 PM EST.

All Seven Fights on March 28

Read previews for the full Magnificent Seven card:

FAQ

When is Davies vs Grandelli? Saturday, March 28, 2026 at Co-op Live Arena, Manchester. Estimated ringwalk ~8:00 PM GMT / 3:00 PM EST.

What title is on the line in Davies vs Grandelli? The vacant EBU European Featherweight Championship (126lb).

How to watch Davies vs Grandelli? Live on DAZN in the UK and globally. Main card starts at 5:00 PM GMT.

What are the odds for Davies vs Grandelli? Davies is a heavy favourite at 2/17 (-830). Grandelli is 9/2 (+450).

Why is this fight significant for Liam Davies? A win makes Davies a two-weight EBU European Champion and likely pushes him into mandatory or voluntary world title contention — he is already ranked in the top 15 with all four major organisations at featherweight.

Who is Francesco Grandelli? A 31-year-old Italian veteran (21-4-2) who has gone 12 rounds with WBC #1 Nathaniel Collins and challenged for the European title twice before. His durability and ring craft make him a legitimate test for any featherweight.


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